Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.695499 0.888300 1.104806 1.363186 1.660395 1.988938 2.376916
2025-08-17 0.406001 0.637696 0.932569 1.322636 1.812519 2.395548 3.129793
2025-08-24 0.266732 0.515580 0.871847 1.386449 2.079143 2.949859 4.097043
2025-08-31 0.163531 0.400691 0.785602 1.391195 2.259327 3.403155 4.967457
2025-09-07 0.112234 0.344783 0.766583 1.478018 2.548305 4.008084 6.058149
2025-09-14 0.073524 0.291225 0.734532 1.534044 2.791159 4.558944 7.098961
2025-09-21 0.044913 0.240159 0.690674 1.559384 2.983927 5.044321 8.066338
2025-09-28 0.023429 0.186906 0.624623 1.532695 3.088372 5.403221 8.868156
2025-10-05 0.012902 0.155946 0.594367 1.561265 3.276613 5.885926 9.852552
2025-10-12 0.006158 0.127424 0.558987 1.572236 3.432560 6.322791 10.781061
2025-10-19 0.001882 0.095404 0.500399 1.525856 3.484592 6.600809 11.485859
2025-10-26 0.000342 0.071510 0.452138 1.490311 3.548451 6.894692 12.217051
2025-11-02 0.000022 0.056671 0.425782 1.499842 3.696171 7.330822 13.179718
2025-11-09 NaN 0.039788 0.379608 1.454814 3.739539 7.602286 13.905314
2025-11-16 NaN 0.034822 0.380085 1.522026 3.996557 8.225263 15.173099
2025-11-23 NaN 0.026490 0.357438 1.526635 4.132818 8.654767 16.156697
2025-11-30 NaN 0.024513 0.367755 1.618898 4.444364 9.380883 17.606516
2025-12-07 NaN 0.021027 0.366180 1.678401 4.693317 10.008808 18.916496
2025-12-14 NaN 0.016631 0.353702 1.705293 4.877380 10.532102 20.073784
2025-12-21 NaN 0.011195 0.324059 1.676873 4.945753 10.860558 20.933490
2025-12-28 NaN 0.008669 0.314796 1.707245 5.136389 11.400812 22.131852
2026-01-04 NaN 0.006234 0.300479 1.718903 5.286944 11.874297 23.231256
2026-01-11 NaN 0.003435 0.269475 1.669568 5.302584 12.112648 23.961730